A forecast-based marketplace for medicines
Know what will run short. Buy before it does.
Every pack carries its shortage forecast, so pharmacies order ahead and sellers stock what will be needed.
Today’s forecast, Italy
No snapshot yet
- 0
- packs on AIFA’s shortage list, 0 of them new in the last 30 days
One forecast, used from both sides of the order.
For pharmacies and hospitals
Order with the forecast in front of you.
- Every pack shows its chance of going short over the next 30 to 365 days.
- Order quantities are suggested from that forecast and your monthly usage.
- When a pack is short, same-substance alternatives in stock are one click away.
- One basket across sellers, with bulk entry by AIC code.
For wholesalers and distributors
Stock and price where supply is tightening.
- See which medicines are short now or forecast to run short.
- Price every strength and pack size against the market average.
- Accept, ship and track orders in one inbox.
- List registered packs, or add a pack size the register lacks.
How the forecast is built
Shortage lists say what is short today. Pharmendium estimates what will be short next, and for how long.
Read the methodology1
Collect
AIFA's daily shortage list, its 2018-2025 archive and the national register of authorized packs.
2
Add context
Excipients each medicine depends on, FDA shortage reasons and supply news from GDELT and Firecrawl.
3
Forecast
A tabular foundation model (TabICLv2) predicts, horizon by horizon, whether a shortage will still be running, learning from every past episode including the ones still open, with seasonality from past years.
4
Act
Buyers order ahead of shortages. Sellers stock and price where demand is about to rise.
What feeds it
Italy is live. Other countries are being added.
AIFA shortage list
LiveCurrent shortages, reasons, expected end dates. Refreshed daily.
AIFA archive 2018-2025
Live26,000+ past shortage episodes for durations and seasonality.
National register
LiveAbout 160,000 authorized packs, so risk is scored before a shortage.
Excipients and FDA reasons
LiveComposition from FDA labels. An excipient's risk flows into every medicine that uses it.
Supply news
LivePlant closures, recalls and raw-material problems, filtered for relevance.
Other countries
NextPublic shortage sources identified for 19 more countries. Ingestion comes next.
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